Friday, April 10, 2009

Is Pakistan depending toomuch on China for diplomacy against US and India

These are hard days for Pakistan. Threats are there not only from outside but also from inside. Currently Pakistan is not finding a way out of its problems, the more it tries to come out, more it get into it. Pressure is not only from extremists but also from US, that is perusing its so called "war on Terror".But if you see the problems Pakistan is facing, in light of their long term policies then you will find that what is happening today inside Pakistan is the most possible outcome that one could have thought. They have always follow the path of Islamic Extremism since they consider it the main principle behind which their nation came into existence. Islamic fundamentalist are given the due respect within Pakistan but that's not the problem, the contentious issue is when they try to define there rules for the common masses who are busy struggling for their daily livelihood. Pakistan has always wasted there precious resources in maintaining the hostility against the Indians. In the name of Kashmir freedom , they have wasted so many life's, killed so many innocents. and still that war is on. 

                                            India says that whenever any international conference happens, Pakistan raises Kashmir as an issue, but i say " Pakistan is not raising Kashmir, instead its surviving on Kashmir. Billions of dollar that it receives from fellow Islamic states in the name of Kashmir freedom by attributing it to the Islamic cause, actually takes care of their daily bread and butter. Indians understand this very well that even  if resolution of Kashmir is reached , they will come up with some different issue to main this hostility in turn to maintain their supply lines. Their inability to fight a direct war with India has left them to go the "nowadays conventional" way of Jehad. Pakistan has given all support to let these forces grow within there territory. And this support is coming directly from the government institutions like the army and there secret services ISI. US also knows about this strong bonding and relationship between these  institutions, and it's trying it level best to build pressure on government to stop this evil support, but expert believe that this is never going to happen. Many believe pak government may try to showoff that it's doing much on its part to curb them, but thats just a namesake to continue to get wide aid from the international community in the name of money required to fight Taliban, but people Know where that money is actually going, they buy heavy weapons which are not worth to be used against the moderately armed Taliban but are more India specific. One will really call it a stupidity or ignorance of a Pakistani government which dont have even money to pay for there weekly  imports(balance of payment) but is still continuing to fund its India specific more than half a million army . They don't have resource to remain competitive against Indias for long but because of the wrong guidance in the name of  support they are getting from china, have made Pakistan chosen the wrong path. 

                                          Talking about their Western front with India first, this can be called their main center of attention. All policies they make in their governance are somehow related to there objectives on the western front. They always feel threatened with India. You can call the comparative big size of India and its resources or the long history of hostility than exist between the two countries way back from 1947 partition that always make Pakistan uncomforatble. Pakistan has been trying since many years to out power India in development and prosperity but now after struggling for so many years they have now realized thats not possible since the rate at which India is growing in development is unachievable with its given resources. The type of support that Pakistan used to get in the US-USSR cold war from US is also fading as India has changed it position from a pure pro USSR to the friend of all type. Also the support it used to have from different countries in the cold war arena when it was a strong US ally is also diminishing. Countries are neglecting Pakistan to get closer to the fast developing India. Pakistan no more have sympathies with the US nor with NATO nations, they simply want to come out of this relationship but are not getting the way out. US on the other side is there another headache, first there war in Afghanistan and now in Pakistan territory, though the war is against the extremist Taliban , but anyway they are Pakistanis only. Pakistan is becoming extremely uncomfortable to make their people calm about the drones attacks which US has been doing. Those drones attack are not at all achieving any thing except alienating few more extremists who later joined there so called jihad. US thinks just by giving some dollars Pakistan will be able to go against their people. Pakistan also understand that what it means to say "no" to US . I still remembered the days when US came looking for afghans and they asked Pakistan's Pervej Musharraf whether they want to be a US ally on global war on Terror or Just want to be on the receiving end. Surely they didn't have the guts nor the power to say no to US.

                                         But these days, china has come into the picture in a very big way. China is a developing country, Though they have not achieved much and their development have just started to take some shape,  they have started building their military army to challenge the leadership of US. In the process they have soured there relations with half of the world, and they think they alone will take on the whole world. Even the US which is still the most powerful and will remain so for at least the next 15 years, never came across anybody all alone. China looks India as a potential adversary in the future. They both have fought war over their border dispute, which actually doesn't exist but is just the conception of china policy. Currently India rules the Indian ocean with its blue water navy having aircraft carriers and Submarines, and china understand very well that they require secure routes to the gulf and African nations for their future oil and material supply chains and its India only that comes in that way, so they have started building strong relations with the neighbors of India as a way of encirclement of  India. Pakistan is just that neighbor which also maintain hostility with India thus providing a perfect match for them. China has started helping Pakistan in a big way with weapons and strategy against India. After Mumbai attacks, Pakistan was very submissive and on the back foot when India was making hugh cry to the world. Then Pakistani minister made a hurried visit to china and upon his return whole posture of Pakistan has changed, probably china guided them to talk tough with India even when that doesn't suite them given there ability are  best known to Indians. But any how that position helped Pakistan to relieve the pressure which India built. China has suggested the similar thing against the  US also, you might have seen how the Pakistan minister talked tough with the US defense minister in the press conference recently. That was a huge shock to the US, and they also understand very well that this voice doesn't belong to Pakistan, it has got the backing of someone. Probably, new strategy might have started shaping up in the white house to deal with this new scenario. Lets wait and watch what will be the next move from both side. 

What do you feel about China helping Pakistan is just to curb there common enemy or there is some big though process from China to take on multiple target with a single shot. 


Thanks 

Prashant Singhal


1 comment:

  1. NO man never, chinese dont have that much brain to deal directly with americans. they will just linger for sometime and then will sit quietly for ever.

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